When looking at the Showings for CIR’s listings, this past week brought with it another increase in showings with a remarkable uptick of 172 showings for a total of 604 in the $300,000 – $400,000 price range. Perhaps the relaxation with the mortgage stress test combined with news of lowering interest rates sparked more interest in the markets. With the recent news in regards to the Covid-19 virus, the volatility in the stock market, as well as the rapid decline in oil prices, we will see what the next few weeks bring and what that will mean for the Real Estate markets. As of right now, the showings volumes are holding strong coming into Spring

The Real Estate Market has continued to show signs of strength coming out of February and into Spring.  With sales across the Province increasing by over 11% compared to last February, that brings the year to date sales slightly above the past five years average activity. This still remains below the longer ten year averages but continues to show signs of stability in most of the markets. While the inventory levels climb coming into the busier Spring markets, the sales have been strong enough to offset it in most markets, allowing the months of inventory to drop which is ideal for price stability.

The largest slow downs were in the $300,000 – $600,000 price ranges however the showing activity in these price ranges continue to be above average since we started tracking this information.  The most notable changes are the increase in showing activity in the $200,000 – $300,000, and the $600,000 – $700,000 ranges.  The upper price ranges remain remarkably consistent for showing activity as well.

City of Calgary, March 2, 2020 –

This month saw a double-digit gain in sales, but last February was one of the slowest levels of activity since the late ’90s.

With the extra day this February, monthly sales total 1,197 units.  A combination of these two factors resulted in a 23 per cent improvement over last year, but sales remain well below longer-term trends and consistent with the lower levels reported over the past five years.

“However, this should not diminish the fact that conditions are still improving,” said CREB^® chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie.

“Calgary is continuing to see slow reductions in the amount of oversupply in the market, from modest changes in demand and reductions in supply. This needs to occur before we can see more stability in prices.”

The overall unadjusted benchmark price was $416,900 in February. This is similar to last month, but nearly one per cent below last year’s levels. Overall, prices remain nearly 11 per cent below the monthly high recorded in 2014.

HOUSING MARKET FACTS

Detached

• After the first two months of the year, detached sales improved by nearly 12 per cent. Improvement did not occur across all districts, as sales continued to ease in the City Centre, North East and North West districts.
• Driven by pullbacks mostly in the south and west districts, new listings declined by one per cent in the city so far this year.
• Improving sales and easing new listings helped reduce inventory levels and reduced months of supply to just below four months in February. This is a significant improvement over the more than five months recorded last February.
• The benchmark price continued to trend down this month for detached homes, but the pace of decline is easing. Citywide detached prices remain less than one per cent lower than last year’s levels, but price movements vary significantly by district, ranging from a three per cent decline in the City Centre to a two per cent increase in the South district.

Apartment

• For the second month in a row, improving sales were met with gains in new listings. This is causing inventory gains.
• Sales levels were high enough to cause the months of supply to ease, but the persistent oversupply in the market continues to weigh on prices.
• February benchmark prices eased compared to the previous month and is over two per cent lower than last year’s levels. The overall benchmark apartment price of $244,700 in February is nearly 19 per cent lower than 2014 monthly highs.

Attached

• After the first two months of the year, rising attached sales and easing new listings caused inventories to decline.
• February months of supply is now below five months, an improvement compared to the past two years.
• Conditions continue to favour the buyer, but improvements have helped reduce the downward pressure on prices. However, divergent activity continues based on location, as prices declined across most districts, but improved in the West, South East and East districts of the city.

REGIONAL MARKET FACTS

Airdrie

• After the first two months of the year rising sales were met with gains in new listings.  However, the improvements in sales outpaced the new listings gain resulting in further inventory declines.  Months of supply have still eased over last year’s levels, but not enough to cause a significant change in price movements.
• After the first two months of the year, the benchmark price has remained relatively stable compared to last year.

Cochrane

• Trends in the town remain generally consistent with regional trends. Improving sales were met with some reductions in listings, inventory and the amount of oversupply in the market.
• The market is showing signs of improvement, but prices continue to remain over two per cent lower than last year.

Okotoks

• Improving sales in the town were strong enough to offset recent gains in new listings, causing further reductions in inventories and the months of supply.
• The elevated levels of supply compared to sales continue to cause prices to trend down. However, at a benchmark price of $409,150 so far this year, prices are just above levels recorded over the first two months of 2019.

-CREB

Preferred Client March (PDF)